Featured Post

The white-Left Part 1: The two meanings of white

Wednesday, April 22, 2020

Inter-Office Memo Number Nine

I wrote this over fifty years ago for the first Earth Day on 22 April 1970. I was an Earth Day organizer for the American Friends Service Committee [AFSC] at the time. I wrote this from the St. Louis County Jail where I was then serving a one year sentence for my part in an anti-Vietnam War protest of the Washington University Reserve Officer Training Course (R.O.T.C.) at the end of March 1970. This was first published in the first edition of the St. Louis Outlaw, 24 April 1970.

The St. Louis Outlaw was an independent, radical newspaper published every three weeks by the Outlaw collective - David, Dev, Fred, Lori and Terry...They were members of Liberation News Service (LNS)  and UPS. They subscribed to Pacific News Service (PNS) and the news service of the North American Congress on Latin America. They were also briefly affiliated with KDNA radio where I also worked as a radio engineer.


INTER-OFFICE MEMO NUMBER NINE What is Ecology?

Slowly, very slowly, science and mankind are coming to understand whole systems, First through the development and use of computers and the development of spacecrafts as life support environments, then in application to the whole Earth. But few have been able to grasp the full meaning of this new "systems oriented" thinking

Biology, a specialized framework for the examination and study of life, has already, in recent years found that framework inadequate and so to compensate had broadened the field by adding the further specializations of bio-chemistry, bio-physics. Ecology is possibly the latest of these emerging specializations. It attempts to explain how life forces work as a system, this requires not specialized knowledge but comprehensive ability.

Ecology is the study of the operations of whole life systems, or more correctly, the whole life system, since all life we have thus far discovered is interrelated. To subdivide is to leave out, to bring error into any calculation. From a scientific point of view, all biology must be seen as a subdivision of ecology. Chemistry and physics, in so far as our interest in them is environmental, are related to ecology. To deal with ecology as a subdivision of some field, or to fail to cain an overview of life systems is in itself anti-ecological.

Ecology is the comprehension of the whole Earth as an environment and all life on the planet as forming an interrelated system in that environment. Man is a part of that network. He is the Host intelligent, and he is the only one with tool capabilities. Tool capabilities are slave capabilities. In terms of power produced and used in this country, we each have the equivalent of:

500 slaves working for us. Man is the only animal with the ability to make any conscious change in his environment. He is the only one with any comprehensive ability, he alone can understand the system in which he lives, He is Adam, the keeper of the Garden, with the ability to destroy or maintain, to change for the better, to act as the computer's cybernetic control, to comprehend all that is happening at once and make changes and repairs while the system is operating. Don't be too quick to assume that nature would be perfect without man, that it would operate from day to day, year to year without fault. Man is a god and he'd better start acting like one.

The understanding of relationships in nature and man's relationship to his environment should lead to the most radical of viewpoints.

The Death of Western Science

The rulers, manipulators, the power people have always had to further man's distrust in nature, man's isolation from himself and nature, and man's distrust in himself to stay in power. When a man distrusts the wilderness in himself he sees nature as the adversary. This is in part the reason for the current ecological crisis.

Likewise, these rulers have always subdivided men into groups, subdivided knowledge, isolated men as much as possible on all levels. This has been done to destroy man's inherent comprehensive ability, because with a total comprehension of the world would come full understanding of one's own oppression, and the ability to rise against that oppression. They created specialization so that a man might know a great deal about any one thing without ever under- standing the whole.

These things are the basis for all western technology and science, which has permeated every culture on the globe. They have failed to provide an ecologically sound environment and a happy life for men because they were designed to serve the few people in power. Present science and engineering practices see nature as the enemy and act in ways hostile to nature. This is true at all levels and it is he way we are trained. We are all lonely and isolated, not knowing how to love or communicate. We are trained that way because it makes us easy to control. The present uproar in ecology is only to find that exactly the forces that make us losers as lovers make us polluters as scientists, and are therefor self- terminating. By the end of the century it will become clear that all science and technology that is specialized and not comprehensive in its design is anti-ecological and must be done away with, or it will lead to the destruction of life on this planet.

The Seven Cities of Gold

Wealth, money, property concepts came out of a misunderstanding of what the world was about.

Humanity has always lived on less than 10% of the Earth's surface, and the average man only saw 1/100,000th of that area. It is not surprising that men first thought the Earth flat, equally unsurprisingly he thought it extended infinitely in area and resources. He saw a need to define local systems in which he could operate. Nations arose out of the need to define a finite body of known people as a center point, as an independent system within the infinity of the world's people. Outside of this center point there was the limitless rest of the world. Explorers could go out into the world and bring the resources home, just as early nomads moved on when the grass was eaten or the hunted animal depleted. As explorers met other people they became exploiters, but since all these people had been defined as outside their nation-system, the exploitation was not seen as real. Black slaves, the American Indians, the Chinese, where see as the limitless "outside" people to those in the "known" world of Europe. Those people and there re- sources have been continuously exploited.

In just the same way, western man has always seen the airs and oceans as limitless. "ho could measure the volume of all the world's air, the depth of the ocean? Early industry must have honestly thought that anything dumped into the ocean was cone for- ever. But it has become increasingly clear that the world is of finite measures. The world is round end of definite dimensions, the Indians could not go west forever, going deeper into Africa you soon met another ocean. Science discovered that the ocean and air had a measurable volume, and that likewise the Earth's oil, coal, and iron were of certain unchangeable amounts, All of these things are well know today, but they have made little change in our conceptualization of the world. The exploiters maintain their power at the expense of the world's people.

The Spaceship Earth

The world is one system, using the same air and water, the same reserve of raw materials, and it can only be operated effectively as one system. The concepts of nations, of individual peoples, which lead to racism, are obsolete. The United States, as 6% of the world's population uses 55% of the world's resources. The concepts of private property are based on a limitless world,:and are likewise obsolete. In a world of 3 billion, why should one man own more than 1/3 billionth of the world wealth, and why should one man own less. The concept of "spending" originated with the Second Law of Thermodynamics with its well know "entropy" which stated that all local systems were losing energy. Thus it was thought that the Earth was running down and that things once “spent were lost. Einstein set us straight on that with his famous E = me", which not only gave a continuous correlation between energy and matter, but also showed the overwhelming effects of the metaphysical upon the physical.

Ecology Action

Almost everything written in ecology is simply telling people what is happening to our environment. We hear about the population bomb, the DDT-ocean crisis, the air pollution - inversion dangers, the green house effect. This is all very interesting information and it fits well with everything we already know about racism, the war, the atomic bomb, etc. Ecology has just been the uncovering of some more shit in a shitty, stinking world, and its effect on most people is to say, "Gee, there's some more shit."

But telling horror stories is not where its at. Teach~ins, speakers, literature and demonstrations. The come-rally-round mentality and all it tactics belong to the earlier civil rights - anti war stages of development. They are not suitable for building and structuring a movement with the broad base and comprehensive totality that is needed at the present time. To the unenlightened eye the ecology movement must start out much as other movements have, however, close scrutiny reveals that ecology is just a part of the further development of the same movement, and that all our environmental problems, including war and racism, will be solved at the same time, in the same way. Even with its educational functions, Ecology Action attempts to use the old technology (i.e. ecology is another Movement specialization) to teach entirely new environmental problems, in an entirely new stage of Movement development.

I have asked many people in St. Louis and in other cities in Ecology Action the same question: What do you have planned after April 22? And have yet to receive a satisfactory answer. The over- whelming majority of the people asked really hadn't thought about it or didn't know, many others suggested demonstration type actions against various polluters. Very little radical politics has been injected into the ecology movement, even by the radicals involved. The AFSC in St. Louis has rushed into ecology without any assessment, and hooked up with plans already in progress by setting up a speaker's bureau and a literature service for the teach-in,

An examination of the effects of the up coming ecology teach- in show that it will make a large number of people aware that there is a lot more shit around, without giving them anyway of relating to it, or doing something about it, thus making those people feel more lost and insecure. All the things talked about to change the situation, from writing congressmen to sitting in buildings, are worthless and have shown their worthlessness. The problem isn't, as ecology people say, that the people don't know. In this ace of electronic media, where everyone can smell and taste the pollution, they know. They don't act because they have been shown no- where to go.

If ecology was simply a problem of getting the pollution out of our air and water, as the teach-in implies. The problem could be better solved by a fascist government than by revolution. The problem will be presented that way and use for fascist repression. (A Nixon speech of 1975 might read; For the safety and preservation of all humanity, I have been forced to take the following steps...) The teach-in is only doing the ground work for that repression.

The environmental problem id a total one and it has more to do with the garbage floating around inside our minds than anything else. The realization must come that total change is necessary and that chance is revolutionary, not a patchwork of the present system.

The Neighborhood as a Village

As the movement comes out of infancy it must seek ways to survive and grow. Individuals committed to revolution must eventually come out of schools and find ways of living which give them freedom to think and build a movement, and they must find ways of relating to other people.

In St. Louis a neighborhood struggle over the future of the Delmar-Skinner area is going on. It is similar to struggles going on in most other cities, It has to do with the ecology of the automobile. The middle class has moved out of the cities and now commutes to downtown jobs via car. Cities build superhighways and other commuter-oriented structures with little regard for the communities they go thru (usually poor white and black). This is happening on the corner of two heavily trafficked streets in St. Louis, Skinner and Delmar where two gas stations and a drive-in restaurant are to be built. They will serve people passing thru, with no interest in the area, and. they will pollute the neighborhood with paper, exhaust, and will destroy neighborhood services. The neighborhood is a village to those who live in it, and the people who live there can be organized to fight this kind of change.

A neighborhood can be organized as a center for radical action. Attack people's values and Institutions by creating alternative values and institutions.

Knock on every door in the neighborhood. Say, "We're taking a survey." A clip board with a piece of paper headed:

WHAT DO YOU KNOW? / WHAT WOULD YOU LIKE TO LEARN?

another piece headed:

WHAT DO YOU NEED? / WHAT CAN YOU GIVE AWAY?

"We are evaluating our resources to see just what we have in our neighborhood, how we can help each other. We feel that none of us know each other well enough. We're going to make up a directory for the neighborhood, it might tell you who can help you with your lawn, who can lend you a power saw." Go prepared to rap with people. If they let you in the door, maybe you can turn their heads around without breaking them off. People will talk to you and under- stand you because we all have the same problems, we are all lonely and insecure.

For the Movement to grow it must realize that we are kept in isolation all our lives and told about each other thru the established media. The Movement's problems of relating to Blacks, poor whites, police, etc., are essentially problems of overcoming false ideas on both sides designed to keep us apart. Those problems can and will be overcome by people talking to people, not by sitting around and listening to media descriptions. The same media that describes us as dirty commies, gives us our impressions of middle America.

Free is the second most important four letter word in the English language. The Diggers were hip to that. Set up a free store as an exchange of goods within the neighborhood. ‘here will the stuff come from? People. Objects are only transitory subjects of human value. An object released from one person's value may be destroyed, abandoned or made available to other people. The Diggers assumed free stores to liberate human nature. First free the space, goods and services. Let the theories of economics follow social facts. Once a free store is assumed, human wanting and giving, needing and taking, become wide open to improvisation.

Build a free laundromat. Find a garage, some old machines, washers and driers that are cheap or free, make them work and leave the door unlocked. Paint the place nicely and make it a neighborhood project. People will talk. Why can't all work done by machines be done for free? Why should we be ripped off by the gyp merchants ~: run the laundromats? The People"s Laundromat?

Free the services that people usually have to pay for. A cooperative garage, bring your cars, we have tools and a place and someone who can teach you to fix your car. Understand your technology. Can people become their own electricians and plumbers? can they pool their tools and make them available to all? A man in the wilderness quickly learns that he can do many things for himself. Stop relying om the specialist and start becoming a comprehensive person. Build confidence by becoming master of your technology. Anyone willing to teach a class on How Things Work in this neighborhood?

All this time you are talking to people and changing their heads, and yours too, You stop working through the media because it is designed to screw you.

The Student Cooperative Craft Shop already exists in this area. Its purpose is to sell leather goods, jewelry, candles, etc cheap, and stop exploitation by the mod clothing stores and head shops in St. Louis. It gives people a way to make some money and a place to learn a craft. It has spoken,mainly by design, to the student population in the area. It ia interesting, however, to note how the community responded. It made students a part of the community. Black kids came in and wanted to learn how to maké things, and started talking to us. Old ladies who had nothing to do offered to mind the store. People got turned on to politics,music and culture on both sides. There was a place to go where none ever existed before.

A food store could have interesting possibilities in this area. The food industry is one of the industries most neglected by the left, however,it rips people off as much as the auto industry or the military-industrial complex. The food is poor quality, unhealthy, and excessively packaged, but everybody has to eat. A food store could succeed if it could sell healthy organic (DDT free) food as cheaply or cheaper than the retail markets. To do this it would have to form its own food chain-system, if you go to the present food industry at any stage you will be ripped off. The food should come from farm land in Missouri or Illinois, although some can come from much farther. Student farms, kids living in the country, and farmers who will sell to you (most large farms are under contract) are,the sources, The trucking is done by people who ow trucks. Flour mills can be had for a couple hundred dollars, bread ovens, juice presses, and much other equipment can be had cheaply be- cause it isn't used .

The key to the project is that while it may not be the most radical thing to do with your time, we all have to eat and support ourselves, If we can spend that time doing these things and free people, we are performing a radicalizing function. The tools exist, not among the students but among the people we have been talking about organizing, i.e., everybody else, and if we want to radicalize them we must start providing ways for them to live. There is a good deal of money in a successful food system, money to pay people.

Build a park on the corner of Delmar and Skinner, which is empty now and awaiting a gas station. The people's nark strategy is a good one. Do something everyone can understand, build a park, make an ugly place beautiful. then it gets torn down, people will understand about private property and corporate power. Begin with the survey, and talk about the ecology of the automobile. Talk a- bout: how gas stations are holding companies for real estate, and @ against tearing down the Chinese restaurant and book store to build a Jack in the Box. Then make the place a park and liberation block party.

Start by talking to people, turn them on and get them thinking. Let human wanting and needing discover what it can about its condition. The political analysis and rhetoric will come later, slowly.


NOT PEOPLE'S PARK - PEOPLE'S PLANET

much thanks to

Gary Snyder Bucky Fuller the Communication Company

Clay Claiborne

American Friend Service Corm. 447 De Balivere St. Louis, Mo. (314) 862-8070





Monday, April 13, 2020

Is Kaiser Permanente putting black lives at risk by refusing to consider hypertension a COVID-19 risk factor?

I am a 71 year-old African American man with hypertension (high blood pressure), so naturally it caught my attention when it was said that older men with hypertension were at special risk of dying from coronavirus disease (COVID-19). I am also aware of the recent findings that African Americans are dying from COVID-19 at a rate two, or even three times, that of the population as a whole. Both my medicare coverage, and full-time employee medical coverage are handled by Kaiser Permanente of Southern California. It is therefore of great concern to me to learn that Kaiser Permanente does not think hypertension a risk factor to be considered when their members are in need of coronavirus testing. That is the reason I am asking: Is Kaiser Permanente putting black lives at risk by not considering hypertension a COVID-19 risk factor?

While I have no formal medical training, my opinion that it should be considered a coronavirus risk factor is well founded, and shared by many, if not most, health experts. For example, WebMD says:
Data from China and Italy -- countries hit early by the virus -- show higher risk of COVID-19 infections and complications in people with high blood pressure.
The City of Los Angeles, which is where I live, and where Kaiser Permanente is a major healthcare provider, considers hypertension a risk factor for COVID-19.

It is also well established in the medical literature that African Americans suffer from hypertension at a higher rated that most people. For example, the National Institute of Health has on its website a paper by Daniel T. Lackland, DrPH titled Racial Differences in Hypertension: Implications for High Blood Pressure Management. The abstract begins:
The racial disparity in hypertension and hypertension-related outcomes has been recognized for decades with African Americans with greater risks than Caucasians. Blood pressure levels have consistently been higher for African Americans with an earlier onset of hypertension.
While this racial disparity with regards to high blood pressure has been known for decades, the racial disparity with regards to negative outcomes from COVID-19 has only come into view in the past few weeks. Just Sunday, Dr. Tony Fauci, from the National Institute of Health, was on MSNBC's Politics Nation. After Al Sharpton pointed out that while blacks are 22% of the population in New York City, they accounted for 28% of the COVID-19 deaths, blacks are 29% of the population in Chicago but account for 70% of the deaths, and in my town, Los Angeles, blacks are 9% of the population, but we account for 17% of the deaths, he asked, "How do you explain the race gap?"

Dr. Fauci began his answer as follows:
The issues is, as I think you hinted at it in your introduction, that is the situation with minority communities, particularly the African American community, in which the underlying conditions that lead to a poor outcome with coronavirus disease, if you look at the need for hospitalization, intensive care, and death, it's very strongly weighted to individuals who are either elderly, but importantly, who have underlying conditions like high blood pressure, asthma, diabetes, obesity, and other underlying conditions.
Dr. Fauci, didn't just mention high blood pressure as a risk factor in relation to COVID-19, he listed it first! He did this for good reasons. While many risk factors, such as obesity, are risk factors because they are likely to complicate recover from any illness, the relationship between coronavirus and hypertension is very specific. As explained by Benjamin Neuman, Professor of Biology, Texas A&M University, in The Conversation:
The cells that SARS-CoV-2 prefers to infect have a protein called ACE2 on the outside that is important for regulating blood pressure.
...
SARS-CoV-2 has a sliding scale of severity. Patients under age 10 seem to clear the virus easily, most people under 40 seem to bounce back quickly, but older people suffer from increasingly severe COVID-19. The ACE2 protein that SARS-CoV-2 uses as a door to enter cells is also important for regulating blood pressure, and it does not do its job when the virus gets there first. This is one reason COVID-19 is more severe in people with high blood pressure.
Lark, which specializes in chronic disease management, also makes it clear they consider hypertension a coronavirus risk factor:
Current data make it clear that people with underlying health conditions are at higher risk for developing more serious cases of COVID-19, including hospitalizations, the need for ventilation, or death. Overall, an estimate based on a study of 1,590 COVID-19 patients in China found that serious cases were 1.79 more likely for patients with one underlying health condition, such as hypertension, and 2.59 times more likely with 2 underlying health conditions. [4].

The World Health Organization (WHO) says people with hypertension are among the highest-risk groups for more serious cases of, and death from, COVID-19 [5]. The death rate 8.4% among confirmed cases and 6.0% among all cases. In comparison, the death rate among those with no-preexisting conditions was 0.9%. In addition, ICU patients in one study were more than twice as likely to have hypertension (58.3% versus 21.6%). [6].
I found out that Kaiser Permanente doesn't think hypertension a factor to be considered in their allocation of coronavirus tests to their members quite by accident. I found out because they either failed to read, or misread, a message I sent to my doctor, to inquire about coronavirus antibody testing, which a very different test entirely, one designed to determine if you had the disease already, and recovered.  Near the end of March, I wrote to my doctor:
From: Clay J Claiborne
Sent: 3/28/2020 12:39 PM PDT
To: BRYAN RAYMOND NEY MD, M.D.
Subject: Re: coronavirus antibody test

I am writings you today because back in early January I had an upper respiratory infection that I didn't think quite the flu. I've had the seasonal flu vaccine. It came on quite suddenly and put me in bed for 5 days, with fever (~101) aches and a bad cough. At times I thought I might be losing the battle to keep my lungs clear, and might be in serious medical jeopardy, but I weathered the storms without ever calling Kaiser. Mostly, because I felt too sick to come in. Also, the onset of this illness came 5 days after I was visited by a friend that may have just returned from China, although he has been a little coy on that point since then.

Of course, at the time coronavirus wasn't on my radar (otherwise I definitely would have called). I just took it to be another nameless upper respiratory infection that would blow over, and it did. Now I wonder if it wasn't COVID-19, and would like to take the antibody test for my own peace-of-mind if it becomes available for that purpose.
This was the non-responsive reply I received a few days later:
VANESSA LILY RAMIREZ RN, R.N.

Received: 03/30/2020
To Clay J Claiborne
Message body: Dear Mr. Claiborne,

Thank you for your email. Please read below for coronavirus testing criteria:

As of today our TESTING guidelines are restricted and may change:
If you have no symptoms = NO testing
If you have symptoms (fever and cough/shortness of breath) AND international travel or close contact of confirmed COVID-19 in the last 14 days = testing
If you have symptoms but no exposure (above) and no *risk factors = NO testing
If you have symptoms AND *risk factors = testing
*risks = adult >65, immunocompromised, cancer, transplant, hemodialysis , advanced HIV, chronic lung disease, pregnancy, SNF residents and homeless patients

You can read more by logging into KP.org then reviewing the Health & Wellness tab.

Replies are not allowed for this message.
Obviously, neither Vanessa Lily Ramirez RN, R.N. nor anyone else actually bothered to read my letter, and they don't allow me to rely, and point out their error. 

If you take their website survey to see if you qualify for COVID-19 testing, you will find the same story:
Do any of these apply to you?
  • 65 years old or older
  • Cardiac disease (e.g., coronary artery disease, valvular disease, congestive heart failure)
  • Pulmonary disease (e.g., asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease)
  • Pregnancy
  • Immunosuppression (e.g., chemotherapy, transplant, or diabetes)
For whatever reason, they  seems to be interested in limiting how many of their members will qualify for testing. You pretty much have to have fever and cough or shortness of breath, meaning you are very sick and need medical treatment in any case, AND international travel or close contact of confirmed COVID-19 in the last 14 days. That last condition contains its own kind of Catch 22, because the more they can limit the testing, the harder it will be to determine if you have had contact with the disease.  By limiting testing in this way, they also limit the need to do the kind of contact tracing that could stop the spread of coronavirus in communities before they are devastated by it. 

All of this brings me back to the question I started with: Shouldn't Kaiser Permantente stop putting black lives at risk by pretending that hypertension, a condition particularly prevalent among African Americans, isn't a risk factor for fatal outcomes from coronoavirus disease?  

Clay Claiborne, Linux Systems Administrator 



Saturday, March 14, 2020

What will we do if coronavirus takes down the Internet?

Last week, in response to the coronavirus, hundreds of corporations joined Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Intel, Twitter, HP and Apple in rolling out comprehensive work-from-home programs for their employees. Most are scheduled to start next week. Classrooms at every level are being shut down, with online learning expected to fill the breach.  Even churches are turning to Internet services. With sports games, concerts, theaters, and festivals all shut down, millions of us are staying home more, and relying on the Internet for both information and entertainment, billions of us, worldwide. The Internet will be stressed as it never has been before, and there isn't as much “excess” capacity as many may think, or we may need, in the coming months, as we use it in a multitude of ways to fight the coronavirus. What happens if the Internet comes to a screeching halt under this load? This is an international dilemma. Is anybody planning for this? I've seen nothing from governments or the industry. How many are aware of the danger? I've seen no talk of this in the mainstream media, and I am one to stream MSNBC, CNN, and Fox News all at the same time through YouTubeTV. Even before this, YouTube and Netflix accounted for half of all Internet traffic.

If the fight against the coronavirus is a world war, we humans against the bug, consider this blog post




Although I have been working in IT for more than half a century, I didn't run into my first case of a “community spread” computer virus until the late 1980's. Since then, detecting, removing, and repairing the damage done by computer viruses has been a constant battle that we have had to wage, and win, just to keep the Internet, and our IT infrastructure, afloat. Now I fear that the Internet may be brought down by a virus of the biological type, considered “novel” in this day and age, at a time when we will need it the most, and almost no one seems to be paying attention outside of a few tech circles, or sounding the alarm, or making plans to deal with what could quickly become an emergency situation that could cost the world many lives in the context of this growing coronavirus crisis.  

Certainly not President Trump, or the federal coronavirus crisis response he is leading. When pumping up the stock market with his Friday White House Press Conference, he showed us just how clueless he is in this area, and the role he has for it in his show. He shook hands, and in one case, rubbed elbows, with corporate CEOs he pledged would help the nation weather the coronavirus storm. He said they were “the biggest business people, the greatest retailers anywhere in the world.” Not one of them was from the IT world. Certainly not Jeff Bezos, who is probably the single biggest business person, and greatest retailer anywhere in the world, not to mention the biggest name in cloud computing and Internet services with his AWS [Amazon Web Services]. AWS has 5 times more deployed cloud infrastructure than its next 14 competitors in aggregate. It's the open secret that allows Amazon to offer good prices, fast delivery, and pay a $15/hr. minimum wage.

While Google may not have been invited to this party, that didn't stop Trump from making false claims about what Google was doing to help us through this crisis. Trump claimed Google had 1700 engineers “helping to develop a website. It is going to be very quickly done, unlike websites of the past, to determine whether a test is warranted and to facilitate testing at a nearby convenient location." This was news to Google!

Trump thinks he can whistle up anything just by "bully pulpitting" it into existence. He lives in a fantasy world. Just as he refuses to understand that vaccines take a minimum of a year to 18 months to develop and produce, he doesn't understand that good, comprehensive websites take time to create, even for a powerhouse like Google. Such a website would need to be very accurate and well designed, and that is the easy part. It would need to be able to scale massively, from the very first day if rolled out nationally all at once like Trump said, and handle database records for tens of millions. This on top of all the traffic Google is regularly handling, especially now. I doubt if even Google has that much excess capacity, and they would be doing the world no favor if it crashed coming out of the gate, or brought down all their other services, or the Internet. This can't be just another one of your brochure websites, Donald. The smart thing is to roll it out in baby steps so there is time to scale it up without disruption, but nobody in Trumpland seems to understand that.

Mike Pence joined Trump in promoting this vaporware website as real, Dr. Deborah L. Birx even brought a chart to show how it would work. They really think that all it takes is good props.


Had he said truthfully that the website another member of the Google family owned by parent Alphabet, Verily, is putting together “is in the early stages of development, and planning to roll testing out in the Bay Area, with the hope of expanding more broadly over time,” he could have challenged Google to get involved, and put hundreds of their engineers to work to make it a nationwide website that could help people determine if a test was needed as quickly as possible.

Such a website could be extremely useful. For one thing, if only a small sampling of the people that filled out a form describing their COVAD-19 like symptoms, were tested, we could quickly extrapolate to get a good idea of what percentage of such people actually had COVAD-19, as compared to the percentage suffering the much less dangerous flu, or the common cold. This alone makes the effort worth it, so while we can't ask Google to rise to Trump's challenge, we can hope that they rise to Trump's lie, and overlook the insult.

But even if the website is everything any of us could want, it won't be very useful if people can't reach it, and that is a real danger in coming weeks.

A Storm may be brewing

A poster to slashdot.org [News for nerds] made this comment on Friday, based on data from Applopia:
Global downloads of business apps including Tencent Conference, WeChat Work, Zoom, Microsoft Teams and Slack have risen nearly five fold since the start of the year, data showed, as the coronavirus outbreak changes how corporations work.
Another pointed to the vulnerability of the cloud computing that we have become so heavily dependent on in recent years:
All these cloud apps are suddenly seeing a surge, causing many of them to have issues - cloud is fine as long as everyone is sharing and surge capacity is limited to one or two major customers. Now suddenly every one of their customers needs max capacity which traditionally these customers would've had individually in a largely offline datacenter and simply spin up nodes for events like these.

Zoom's calling capacity during peak hours is severely limited, WebEx has similar problems, Teams is laggy and Office 365 janky as hell. Look at DownDetector for major services - ~10am-~4pm spikes a lot more reported issues over the last few days. We've just sent thousands of employees home and thousands of students need to join online classes starting next week and already having problems with small test sessions.

The cloud was built for temporary surge capacity for singular failures, instead business leaders decided they never needed to plan for emergencies again, just spin it up in the cloud. I'm going to predict that within the next 2-4 weeks we'll see massive failures and even data losses as Amazon and Microsoft infrastructure gets brought to its knees.
Devin Coldewey writes on Techcrunch:
The coronavirus threat and official policies of “social distancing” are leading millions to stay home, doing meetings via video chat and probably watching Netflix and YouTube the rest of the time. That means a big uptick in bytes going through the tubes, both simultaneously and cumulatively.
The public, and non-technical business community, has been taught to think of the Internet Cloud as a magical place where they can store endless amounts of data, create elaborate websites, and run businesses, with little concern for how the cloud does it. Those of us tasked with keeping cloud computing up and running, know that it runs on real hardware in datacenters with finite capacities. All those photos we upload to the cloud are stored on a hard disk somewhere in the world, and so for those that think we can instantly expand the cloud to meet whatever demand coronavirus throws at us, Coldewey says:
Nice of you to think Fiber, switches and routers grow on trees along with the labor to install it. What happens if everyone uses it simultaneously and then the Internet goes to a crawl?
Already, Facebook, Netflix, and Twitter faced significant distress this Saturday:



They were just 3 of 26 big websites outages on Saturday. On Friday, the number was 23 according to Down Detector:
Sunday Update: The number of outages Down Detector recorded from the websites it monitors was 48.

Outages overview - March 2020 (CT)
CompanyDateStarted
Bank of America
03/15/2020
1:32 a.m.
Hulu
03/15/2020
12:45 a.m.
Netflix
03/15/2020
12:29 a.m.
Chase
03/15/2020
12:08 a.m.
Disney+
03/14/2020
11:56 p.m.
Suddenlink
03/14/2020
11:30 p.m.
Streamlabs
03/14/2020
10:58 p.m.
Roblox
03/14/2020
10:54 p.m.
Twitch
03/14/2020
10:42 p.m.
Call of Duty
03/14/2020
10:20 p.m.
Dazn
03/14/2020
8:44 p.m.
Walmart.com
03/14/2020
7:35 p.m.
Black Desert Online
03/14/2020
6:44 p.m.
2k
03/14/2020
1:48 p.m.
Facebook
03/14/2020
1:44 p.m.
Disney+
03/14/2020
1:24 p.m.
Roblox
03/14/2020
12:50 p.m.
Call of Duty
03/14/2020
11:44 a.m.
Netflix
03/14/2020
11:41 a.m.
Evernote
03/14/2020
11:04 a.m.
Destiny
03/14/2020
10:52 a.m.
Rainbow Six
03/14/2020
9:42 a.m.
Twitter
03/14/2020
8:18 a.m.
MLB The Show
03/14/2020
6:09 a.m.
Midcontinent Media
03/14/2020
4:33 a.m.
Tinder
03/14/2020
3:38 a.m.
Southern California Edison
03/14/2020
2:02 a.m.
Pokémon Go
03/14/2020
1:26 a.m.
Call of Duty
03/14/2020
12:52 a.m.
Escape from Tarkov
03/14/2020
12:28 a.m.
Netflix
03/13/2020
11:45 p.m.
TD Ameritrade
03/13/2020
9:46 p.m.
Madden
03/13/2020
9:37 p.m.
Secom
03/13/2020
8:46 p.m.
Armstrong
03/13/2020
8:32 p.m.
Overwatch
03/13/2020
8:30 p.m.
Playstation Network
03/13/2020
8:26 p.m.
Smite
03/13/2020
8:06 p.m.
PG&E
03/13/2020
7:06 p.m.
United Airlines
03/13/2020
6:46 p.m.
Blizzard Battle.net
03/13/2020
6:08 p.m.
Path of Exile
03/13/2020
5:14 p.m.
Roblox
03/13/2020
4:58 p.m.
Dota 2
03/13/2020
4:56 p.m.
TDS Telecom
03/13/2020
4:18 p.m.
Quora
03/13/2020
3:06 p.m.
Steam
03/13/2020
2:02 p.m.
Xbox Live
03/13/2020
1:59 p.m.
Expedia
03/13/2020
1:36 p.m.
NBA 2k
03/13/2020
1:09 p.m.
Monday is the first day millions, including almost 100,000 from Google alone, will be working from home. We will see how things fare then. These numbers bear watching more than the Dow Jones Industrial Average, because while falling stock prices should have limited short-term impact on our ability to weather this storm, and if it is a short one, the markets should quickly recover. A failed Internet, on the other hand, will take down many lives, as well as the DOW.

Two years ago the Oracle Internet Intelligence Group created a free map of global Internet Health. As of this writing, the only area of the United States to suffering significant Internet disruption is Puerto Rico, which is rated the fifth most disrupted place on Earth in the past 48hrs, just behind Somalia, Egypt, Burundi, and Djibouti. This speaks volumes about the third world status the United States gives to its last colony. This map will be important to monitor going forward because in the coming weeks of “social distancing,” as we rely on the Internet to work from home, entertain ourselves, maintain social contacts, and communicate critical health information, US Internet outages might not be just for Puerto Rico anymore. In this coming crisis, the health of the Internet will seriously affect the health of both the people and the financial markets.


There may be a time in the near future when we may have to triage bandwidth, which will be considerably less painful than triaging medical ventilators. If we get to that point, I vote that the Internet traffic nobody wants to receive, SPAM, be the first to go.

Clay Claiborne
Linux Systems Administrator

Wednesday, March 11, 2020

Has President Trump come down with something?

How sick is President Trump now?

We know from news reports that Trump has come into contact with people who have been in contact with people who have been effected by the coronavirus. We know that he claims not to have been tested. Now he has cancelled two of his most beloved political rallies. Has he done that out of a new found concern for the health of his supporters, or is something else going on?

Watch and listen carefully to these two videos of Donald Trump speaking in the Oval Office, and make up your own mind. The first is tonight's Oval Office address in which he announced the ban on travel from Europe, but not the UK!!! The second video is Trump's Oval Office defense of Roger Stone less than a month ago.



Ask yourself "Is this the same man?" or is this the same man trying to hide a serious illness? Notice especially the squinting eyes and labored breathing at the end of sentences, compare that to his demeanor on 12 February, 2020. Is he medicated, or sick, or both?


Here he thinks drug addicts, the victims of drug trafficking, should get like nine years in prison for having an addiction. That is also sick, but normal for Trump.

Then, there is also this:


UPDATE #1: CNN is reporting that Trump has cancelled trips to three states and the Saint Patrick's Day reception at the White House. I suspect we won't be seeing Trump much after this speech.

Clay Claiborne

Monday, December 16, 2019

The Impeachment of Ted Cruz

The purpose of this blog post is to impeach the testimony given my Senator Ted Cruz on ABC This Week about the crimes of President Donald Trump against the people of Ukraine and the people of the United States. Specifically, what he said to George Stephanopoulos impeaches this "juror” even before the “trial”:
Now, I'm not suggesting that you can cook up fraudulent attacks on your opponents. This would be a very different allegation if someone would say: If the president had said, “Please concoct something that isn't real,” that would be qualitatively different. That's not what the transcript says. The transcript says, “Investigate what happened, find out what happened.”


Trump never said, “Investigate what happened, find out what happened,” in the redacted transcript released by the White House. He didn't ask for an honest investigation of corruption in Ukraine. He did precisely what Ted Cruz was so quick to deny he did; he asked the Ukrainians to cook up a fraudulent attack on his opponents. In effect, he said to President Zelenskyy “Please concoct something that isn't real.” They even left the proof in the redacted transcript, as we shall see.

It is well known that Trump never spoke of corruption in either of his calls with Zelenskyy. He also never spoke of “investigation” or “investigations,” although the eager-to-please Zenlenskyy mentioned “the investigation” four times, and “that investigation” once in the infamous 25 July call, including:
“...and in addition to that investigation..."

"...so, we will take care of that and will work on the investigation...”


“I would kindly ask you if you have any additional information that you can provide to us, it would be very helpful for the investigation..”

“I also want to ensure you that we will be very serious about the case and will work on the investigation.”
Now, the Ukrainian President may say that he felt no pressure, but back then he seemed more obsessed with Trump's “investigation” than with the war with Russia that is killing thousands of his own countrymen.

While Trump never spoke of corruption or investigation, he made it very clear to Zelenskyy what “the investigation” was expected to find. Right after he famously said, “I would like you to do us a favor though,” he goes on to elaborate on his expected return:
“I would like you to find out what happened with this whole situation with Ukraine, they say Crowdstrike... I guess you have one of your wealthy people... The server, they say Ukraine has it.”
Later, on a call-in to Fox and Friends, 22 Nov., Trump put a little more meat on the bones of these conspiracy theory buzzwords:
Donald Trump: “A lot of it had to do, they say, with Ukraine. You know, it’s very interesting, it is very interesting. They have the server, right? From the DNC, Democratic National Committee.”

Brian Kilmeade: “Who has the server?”

Donald Trump: “The FBI went in, and they told them, 'Get out of here, we’re not giving it to you.' They gave the server to CrowdStrike, or whatever it’s called, which is a company owned by a very wealthy Ukrainian, and I still want to see that server. You know, the FBI has never gotten that server. That’s a big part of this whole thing. Why did they give it to a Ukrainian company?”

Steve Doocey: “Are you sure they did that? Are you sure they gave it to the Ukraine?”

Donald Trump: “ Well, that is what the word is. And that’s what I asked, actually, in my phone call, if you know. I mean, I asked it very point-blank, because we’re looking for corruption.”
Even if there are legitimate areas of investigation with regards to Ukrainian involvement in the 2016 US election, the conspiracy theory that Crowdstrike is a Ukrainian company, or owned by a Ukrainian, and that it is hiding the DNC server in Ukraine is utter nonsense. But does anybody seriously think that the leader of a country at war can risk the consequences of doing an investigation, and coming back and telling Donald Trump the truth? That his conspiracy theories about Ukraine, Crowdstrike, and The Server, are so much phooey? Of course, Trump was demanding that they “concoct” something up. Everybody seems willing to cover up this deeply criminal aspect of Trump's corruption with the euphemism of “investigation of the 2016 election.” This was to be an “investigation” Trump Style, an investigation designed to reach a foregone conclusion.

Crowdstrike

CrowdStrike is the “who ya gonna call” of cybersecurity. It is a publicly traded US company based in Irvine, CA with $250 million in revenues last year. It was founded in by two cybersecurity experts, George Kurtz, and Dmitri Alperovitch, that left the software security firm McAfee after Intel bought it, and Gregg Marston, now retired, from an IT security provider owned by McAfee. No Ukrainians, although Alperovitch, now a US citizen, was born in Russia, and came to the US as a teenager

It partners with more than 40 IT companies, including IBM, AWS, Dell, and Google Cloud. Its thousands of customers include Rackspace, Amazon, Verizon, Pacific Life, Well Cornell Medicine, Union Bank, Tribune Media, Sony, Sega, Prime Insurance, Mack Industries, ADP, Berkshire Bank, Hyatt, Pokémon, and the City of San Diego. It has also been widely used by both Republicans and Democrats, including Bernie 2020 and Emily's List.

Maybe the confused mind of Donald Trump “concocted” his “Ukraine company” nonsense from stuff being promoted along those lines by ultra-right and pro-Putin websites all over the Internet. This excerpt from Liberty Blitzkrieg is a “perfect” example of facts woven together in such a way that the weak-minded might well conclude that Crowdstrike is a Ukrainian company:
The firm’s CTO and co-founder, Dmitri Alperovitch, is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, a think tank with openly anti-Russian sentiments that is funded by Ukrainian billionaire Victor Pinchuk.
The Russian immigrant Alperovitch is Senior Fellow for Cyber Statecraft Initiative. Victor Pinchuk is one of 48 members of the Atlantic Council International Advisory board, along with Rupert Murdoch, who probably also funds it. Nevertheless, Russian sources, like Sputnik, have been promoting the view:
{T]hat some of the key assumptions underpinning the [Mueller] report's entire argument had been verified by entities with a vested interest in Ukraine.
Trump was parroting Russian propaganda about Ukraine to Zelenskyy, and asking him to verify it with a bogus investigation.

The Server, The Server..

There was no “The Server,” OK? The Democratic National Committee didn't run on “a” server, it ran on a great many servers, most of them cloud servers, and lots of them got hacked by the Russians. They had to “decommission more than 140 servers,” according to 2018 DNC court filings. CrowdStrike did much of the detective work and post-attack security. Ever since they published their conclusions about Russian government responsibility for the DNC hacks, they have been on the hit-list of a curious collection of groups, and Donald Trump.

Also, when the right-wing media pundits proclaim “the patent importance of the physical server system to the FBI," they only reveal their own ignorance. I've been in IT for half a century, and I'm here to tell you that you don't do a cyber investigation on the physical server. It's not like you're going to find the hacker's fingerprints on it. What you need is an image of the server's storage, and if possible, its memory dump at the time of the breach. That is the subject of your investigation. Once the image is taken, that is everything you need. You never examine the “physical server” even to the extent that there is one in cloud computing. The server itself is wiped clean and rebuilt so the enterprise can carry on after the attack.

When deputy assistant attorney general for the DOJ’s National Security Division Adam Hickey appeared on a panel before the House Judiciary Committee, 22 October 2019, and was asked by Debbie Lesko (R-AZ 8th District):
“Looking back at the FBI’s activities investigating the 2016 election, it has been reported that the FBI never obtained the original servers from the Democratic National Committee that had allegedly been hacked by Russia, instead relying upon imaged copies. First of all, is that correct?”
Hickey simply said that they got what they needed from Crowdstrike, noting that “it’s pretty common for us to work with a security vendor in connection with an investigation of a computer intrusion.”

If you think you may have been hacked, the way this works is that you don't just call the police, because they don't drop everything and come over to investigate your systems. You call a cyber-security company, like CrowdStrike, and if they find evidence of an illegal intrusion, then you have something to make the cops, or feds, take you seriously, for what that's worth. The sad truth of cyber-crime is that the victim almost always pays for the investigation. That's just the way it is. So, there was really nothing to see here with regards to charges made by Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS), in the Putin-friendly Consortium News and promoted by Moscow-based Sputnik that:
Major deficiencies include depending on a DNC-hired cybersecurity company for forensics.
These claims promoted by Trump have absolutely no basis in fact, although they appear to have their origins with Paul Manafort, and have been strongly supported by many Russian backed, and right-wing websites. It should not be overlooked that these conspiracy theories Trump was pushing onto the Ukrainians are really stupid-crazy, and have been refuted many times by NBC News, Axios, Daily Beast, Buzzfeed, Wired, and many others.

Ironically, Ted Cruz, in his rush to deny something Stephanopoulos never charged, revealed the real extent of the corruption Trump was demanding of Zelenskyy. He wasn't just demanding what both Republicans and Democrats have deceptively referred to as “an investigation of the 2016 elections.” Trump let Zelenskyy know that “the investigation” had to support his loony theory about Crowdstrike and “The Server” hidden in Ukraine. Trump provided Zelenskyy with “alternate facts” to find, along with his marching orders for an investigation. Trump wasn't just asking Nolenskyy to do an investigation, he was inviting him to a meeting in Fantasyland.

I rest my case.


Syria is the Paris Commune of the 21st Century!

Click here for our posts on the 2016 US Election
Click here for a list of our other blogs on Syria
Click here for a list of our other blogs on Libya